Doomben Horse Racing Tips for Wednesday

Racenet form man Graeme Carey is sticking to the on-pacers when looking for winners on Wednesday’s card.

Value looks hard to find at Doomben on Wednesday with rain around, but as is often the case the on-pacers are likely to be advantaged and that is where I am looking for the winners.

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Race 1 – 2YO C&G Maiden Plate (1110m)
A couple of last-start beaten favorites will be looking to turn things around. KOBE LAD (3) was a beaten favorite at Ipswich but a heavy track and fractious manners may have contributed. Now third-up, Jim Orman has given us a clue by choosing him over SUENITO and he could make amends. Chris Munce has backed SUENITO (7) up quickly after he was well-supported first-up and failed narrowly at Ipswich last week. The shorter trip helps and Sam Collett will have him near the speed throughout. The all-conquering O’Dea/Hoysted stable send around a couple of debutants both of which have had four trials to prepare. PRINCE SHALAA (6) has drawn the good gate and is by a speed sire out of a useful racemare which won on debut. HANG FIVE (1) is bred for speed and his dam was a handy performer. Both will benefit from the experience and the stable is training winners for fun.
Betting Strategy – Watch market on first-starters but the experience of KOBE LAD (3) will count.

Race 2 – 2YO F Maiden Plate 1110m
Annabel Neasham doesn’t send many to midweeks in Brisbane and GOOD GIRL (3)’s debut at a Saturday race stands her in good stead. On a soft surface with the rail likely to cut up, an outside gate may not be such a disadvantage. Ryan Maloney is in good form winning the jockey’s challenge here on Saturday and the filly may be too classy. Another O’Dea/Hoysted debutant SHE’SGOTTHEBOOM (9) is bred for speed and won a recent trial. Her dam won here as a two-year-old and history could repeat. EVEN NOW (2) has the benefit of experience placing at two of four starts. He was run down late when favorite last start and despite the ordinary draw should be prominent. LES GIRLS (4) has had two trials in NSW and Kris Lees has brought her North for debut. By Spirit Of Boom out of a six-time winning I Am Invincible mare she should have speed.
Betting Strategy – GOOD GIRL (3) only needs to replicate her debut to win.

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Race 3 – Maiden Handicap (1110m)
A big field and there will be a charge early. BRAILLER (3) was unsighted when resuming in Saturday grade. His previous trials were strong and he has placed here previously. It is Noel Callow’s only ride of the day and a positive one can have him in contention. Tony Gollan is debuting WARRIORESS (8), a well-bred type by I Am Invincible which has had two trials in preparation. The gate may test but Sam Collett is in fine form. BAKUHATSU (2) from the Edmonds camp faded late when resuming and will benefit from a good gate. The trip is a query but with Robbie Fradd he will take no prisoners. DUNDAS (5) will appreciate the drop back to Maiden company after performing in much higher grade at his past two outings. He may be looking for longer but Steph Thornton stays on and he could hit the line. MASTER TYLER (1) is resuming after a long break and is bred for further but placed at both previous outings over 1200m. Fitness may be an issue but he has the ability to trouble these.
Betting Strategy – Many unknowns and there might be some value in BRAILLER (3).

Race 4 – Maiden Handicap (1350m)
David Vandyke and Ryan Maloney have built an enviable reputation at the midweeks and SACRED OATH (2) has had a trial to ready him for debut. This distance should suit first-up, he can box-seat and will get every chance. HURIWAI (3) has now had three outings since coming North and will find this easier than Saturday grade. Chris Waller has brought him North to win a race and will keep him going until he does. A CALL FROM HEAVEN (6) has been runner-up at both outings and now steps up in trip. He has the speed to overcome an awkward draw and Ben Thompson will have him in a prominent spot. MAJESTICS REQUEST (5) has placed at both outings since resuming but can’t draw a gate for love nor money. Boris Thornton will need all his skill and if luck can be taken out of the equation could get the job done.
Betting Strategy – Not much between those with revealed form and will be watching the market on SACRED OATH (2).

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Race 5 – Benchmark 68 Handicap (1350m)
Lauren Abbott has taken over the training of GENERAL DUBAI (1) which brings Sydney form and won a better Benchmark race than this two starts back. Jaden Lloyd’s claim helps and he can start his Queensland career off on a winning note. SOUBRETTE (2) made good ground after missing the start but found one better late last start at Ipswich over 1200m. That was her first outing in seven weeks and with Marnu Potgeiter will get all the favours. JEEHAAN (9) had support but never threatened from a wide gate at Sunshine Coast last start. She gets some gear changes including a tongue-tie and placed here for Ben Thompson three starts back. VAMPIRINA DIAMOND (5) is resuming after having won three of four starts last preparation. She would like longer but has had two trials and could show up fresh. EXPERT EYE (7) disappointed last start but Sam Collett back on will help. She needs good going to show her best and may not get the right conditions.
Betting Strategy – Love that Sydney form. GENERAL DUBAI (1) for me.

Race 6 – Class 1 Handicap (2040m)
Chris Meagher has put a nasal strip back on ASHER (3) which was only run down late at Kilkoy over 1900m. This is harder but Sam Collett replaces the apprentice Melea Castle and that might be enough. RATIONS (2) is running out of chances having found one better at her past four outings. Barry Baldwin has stepped her up in trip and Jim Byrne could help overcome the wide gate. SERENADE THE CAT (5) was ridden back and never likely last start. At her previous outing she led throughout to win at the Sunshine Coast over 1800m and a similar ride by Kyle Wilson-Taylor could see her singing again. STYLE SEEKER (1) is coming off a Maiden win and a rise in class, weight and distance is usually a showstopper. His breeding may help over this distance and the lightly-raced four-year-old has upside.
Betting Strategy – Ordinary race and I am jumping off RATIONS (2). Might be some value in ASHER (3).

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Race 7 – Benchmark 68 Handicap (1640m)
Kris Lees places his horses to advantage and ALWAYS ON SHOW (6) will find this easier than the Magic Millions Quality. She hasn’t won this preparation but is rarely beaten far and her last win came here in a Benchmark 70 where she accounted for Tamilaide. A repeat of that effort would sort this field out. Wins are far and few between for MOSSHIKI (1) but he wasn’t far off them in a Saturday Class 3 Plate here last start and has won third-up previously. He will get back but this company suits and with Leah Kilner’s 2kg claim can hit the line. Chris Munce has dropped OUTBACK GADIATOR (2) in both class and distance after two solid outings at Saturday company. The shorter trip may test but he is very fit and has enough speed to take advantage of gate one. SPIRIT’S CHARM (9) wasn’t helped at the start at Ipswich last outing. The step up in distance suits and with a better getaway can be in the finish.
Betting Strategy – I am on ALWAYS ON SHOW (6).

Race 8- Class 2 Plate (1200m)
Tough race with many of the better chances drawn wide though that may not be a disadvantage at this time of the day. Steve Tregea has an excellent strike rate and QUACKERY (8) made good ground when resuming and won’t mind the step up in trip. Both the horse’s wins have come with Jim Orman and he will be hitting the line. MICROWAVE JENNY (13) was taking on Saturday class last preparation and has benefited from a recent trial. She is awkwardly drawn but may have more upside than most and could show up for Sam Collett. MERIDEN FLASH (7) has won both outings and bolted in at Ballina. He has had a seven-week break and this is much harder but Robbie Fradd can give them something to run down. DECEMBER DIAMOND (12) hasn’t been far away in three outings since resuming and will appreciate the drop back in trip. She wasn’t far away in a Saturday Class 3 two starts back and meets a moderate Class 2 field here. With Ben Thompson back on she can make her presence felt.
Betting Strategy – Steve Tregea always hard to beat and QUACKERY (8) has improvement.

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BEST BET:
ALWAYS ON SHOW (Race 7 No 6)

NEXT BEST:
GENERAL DUBAI (Race 5 No 1)

VALUE BET:
ASHER (Race 6 No 3)

Quaddie numbers are:
Race 5 – 1,2,7
Race 6 – 2,3,5
Race 7 – 1,6
Race 8 – 4,8,7,13
72 combinations

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Originally published as Graeme Carey Doomben Preview and Best Bets for Wednesday

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